Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 8.540898e-05 0.000102 0.000119 0.000139 0.000161 0.000184 0.000211
2025-01-12 6.092036e-05 0.000081 0.000105 0.000134 0.000167 0.000205 0.000249
2025-01-19 5.050550e-05 0.000073 0.000100 0.000134 0.000176 0.000224 0.000282
2025-01-26 3.844854e-05 0.000061 0.000090 0.000128 0.000176 0.000232 0.000303
2025-02-02 3.296359e-05 0.000056 0.000088 0.000130 0.000184 0.000250 0.000334
2025-02-09 2.730850e-05 0.000051 0.000083 0.000129 0.000189 0.000264 0.000360
2025-02-16 2.445499e-05 0.000049 0.000083 0.000133 0.000200 0.000284 0.000394
2025-02-23 2.114656e-05 0.000045 0.000081 0.000135 0.000208 0.000300 0.000423
2025-03-02 1.661914e-05 0.000039 0.000075 0.000129 0.000205 0.000303 0.000435
2025-03-09 1.316271e-05 0.000034 0.000070 0.000125 0.000204 0.000308 0.000450
2025-03-16 1.093010e-05 0.000031 0.000067 0.000124 0.000207 0.000318 0.000471
2025-03-23 9.309892e-06 0.000029 0.000065 0.000125 0.000213 0.000331 0.000496
2025-03-30 7.218256e-06 0.000026 0.000062 0.000123 0.000216 0.000343 0.000521
2025-04-06 5.127396e-06 0.000022 0.000057 0.000119 0.000215 0.000349 0.000539
2025-04-13 4.051676e-06 0.000020 0.000055 0.000119 0.000221 0.000365 0.000570
2025-04-20 2.635333e-06 0.000017 0.000050 0.000114 0.000217 0.000366 0.000582
2025-04-27 2.069838e-06 0.000015 0.000049 0.000115 0.000225 0.000383 0.000615
2025-05-04 1.484429e-06 0.000014 0.000047 0.000114 0.000228 0.000395 0.000641
2025-05-11 1.234918e-06 0.000013 0.000047 0.000118 0.000239 0.000417 0.000681
2025-05-18 9.265661e-07 0.000012 0.000046 0.000119 0.000246 0.000434 0.000714
2025-05-25 4.983234e-07 0.000010 0.000042 0.000114 0.000242 0.000435 0.000725
2025-06-01 2.512270e-07 0.000008 0.000039 0.000110 0.000240 0.000438 0.000739
2025-06-08 1.342864e-07 0.000007 0.000037 0.000110 0.000243 0.000448 0.000763